Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $10.15
- Potential payout
- $16.51
- Potential profit
- $6.36
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $3.22
Polymarket Trader
0x16dc...0834
0x16dc00ba7632af3ada0148432630b5e73f070834
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $85.47
- Realized PnL
- -$4.93
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $15.47
- Potential profit
- $8.97
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $12.59
- Potential profit
- $12.58
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.64
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $11.14
- Potential payout
- $11.91
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.61
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $11.37
- Potential profit
- $9.66
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.23
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.8%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $11.26
- Potential profit
- $2.51
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $9.47
- Potential payout
- $10.35
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.54
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $6.78
- Potential payout
- $10.35
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $7.55
- Potential payout
- $8.16
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $7.63
- Potential payout
- $8.16
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $3.5
- Potential profit
- $1.87
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $2.18
- Potential payout
- $2.53
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.69
No position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $134 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.85
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.92
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.93
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.93
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.93
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.93
No position
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Yes 33% 7 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No 43% 15.47 shares
- Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $134 Week of June 22 2026?No 59% 3.41 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No 41% 3 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes 27% 6 shares
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No 85% 2.53 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No 78% 6.08 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes 46% 3.5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 46% 3.5 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 25% 6.08 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 75% 9.37 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?No 92% 7.08 shares