Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$6.7
Polymarket Trader
0x16E76fEdA4139D7d0967219c126be9B9C3A40231-1770062873615
0x16e76feda4139d7d0967219c126be9b9c3a40231
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $138.25
- Realized PnL
- $268.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.99
- Potential profit
- $129.99
- User PnL
- -$18.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.7
- Potential profit
- $112.7
- User PnL
- -$8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $84.5
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $95.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.75
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $27.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $72.5
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$7.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.58
- Potential profit
- $71.58
- User PnL
- -$7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $49.99
- User PnL
- -$14.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.04
- Potential profit
- $36.04
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.12
- Potential profit
- $35.12
- User PnL
- -$7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.16
- Potential profit
- $34.16
- User PnL
- -$9.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.96
- Potential profit
- $32.96
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.63
- Potential profit
- $12.63
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.03
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 9% 80 shares
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes 55% 10 shares
- Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?No 30% 10 shares
- Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 72% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 99% 100 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 88% 100 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93.2% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 85.6% 100 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes 74% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETUp 51% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETUp 93% 10 shares