Polymarket Trader

ganeshaboy

0x16efb02650aa8db2628cd7be40c9e1008524da3f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0.05
Realized PnL: $34.22
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 61m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.15
Potential profit: $90.15
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.93
Potential profit: $27.93
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $12.95
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $10.01
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71

Yes position

Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?

Yes 8% 13 shares
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?

Yes 60% 5 shares
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?

Yes 33% 5 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Yes 22.9% 5 shares
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 17% 10 shares
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 34% 10 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 15% 20 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 5% 20 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Yes 28% 7.4 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 77% 10 shares
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 30% 16.7 shares
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 17% 11.71 shares