Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $33.75
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.47K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $3.75
Polymarket Trader
arena113
0x16f1c54b50a562b0382c79998f39222ac280e1d1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.9K
- Realized PnL
- $929.4
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $570
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $630
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$78
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $702.43
- Potential payout
- $982.42
- Potential profit
- $279.99
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $48.06
No position
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $517.68
- Potential payout
- $900.31
- Potential profit
- $382.63
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$95.2
No position
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $360.34
- Potential payout
- $742.96
- Potential profit
- $382.63
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$25.18
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $336
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $364
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$61
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $651.05
- Potential payout
- $688.94
- Potential profit
- $37.89
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $127.45
Yes position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $584.4
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $15.6
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $170.4
Yes position
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $186
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $414
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$318
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $36.9
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $563.1
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- $5.7
Yes position
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $251.69
- Potential payout
- $599.98
- Potential profit
- $348.29
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$115.3
No position
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $452.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $47.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $52.5
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $68.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $431.75
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$13.75
Yes position
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $462.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $62.5
No position
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $37.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $462.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $7.5
T1 position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$390
Yes position
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $142.45
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $357.55
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$35.55
No position
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $442.49
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $57.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $47.5
No position
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $225
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $275
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $202.49
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $297.49
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$82.5
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.4%
- Current value
- $101.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $298.4
- Multiplier
- 3.94x
- User PnL
- -$88.4
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $306
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $94
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$34
No position
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $225.96
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $174.04
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$34.86
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$165
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $208
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $156
No position
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.5
PCIFIC position
Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $93.67
Forsaken position
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87
Misa Esports position
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57
LOS position
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
No position
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $5.23
Galions position
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Galions position
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Eintracht Spandau position
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Haiti position
Spread: Scotland (-2.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Top Esports Challenger position
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group A
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Top Esports Challenger position
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifier
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Cabo Verde position
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
LYON position
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Galions position
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Morocco position
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.1% 499.99 shares
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Haiti 50% 10 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 47.5% 390.9 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 20% 56.8 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 23.8% 340 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 72% 200 shares
- Spread: France (-1.5)Senegal 10% 199.99 shares
- Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 34% 99.99 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.8% 430.78 shares
- Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 62.8% 343 shares
- Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 13% 199.97 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 84% 1,000 shares