Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $5.74
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $25.27
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Polymarket Trader
0x16f6...b330
0x16f600864cdd25a051852349ffb9144d14c1b330
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $57.17
- Realized PnL
- -$13.98
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $22.08
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
SBF released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $17.19
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.19
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $9.46
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.09
Yes position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.64
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.4
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $4.77
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.1%
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
SBF released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$15.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No 20% 6 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 14% 8 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 93.2% 15 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No 17% 6 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 33% 11 shares
- Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No 97.7% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 79.2% 16 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 94.9% 5 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 93.3% 7 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 48.5% 5 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 51.6% 8 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 62% 10 shares