kkagency

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.68
Potential profit: $312.68
User PnL: -$93.39

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$252

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $50.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $199.88
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.6%
Current value: $180.11
Potential payout: $201.02
Potential profit: $20.91
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$172.5

No position

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $185.8
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $14.2
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $7.75

Yes position

Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $177
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $23
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$82.4

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$44

No position

Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.23
Potential profit: $199.23
User PnL: -$85.19

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $110.26
Potential payout: $150.02
Potential profit: $39.75
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $11.85

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$127.5

No position

Will voter turnout be between 60% and 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $100.01
User PnL: -$68.29

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $23
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $77
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$35

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$79

Yes position

Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$25.93

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 67.9%
Current value: $33.93
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $16.08
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$5.39

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $29.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $20.75
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$13.25

Yes position

Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$37.5

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$8.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 5-8%?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.4K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.05K

No position

Han Duck-soo in jail by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $656.11

No position

Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.22

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.2

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $211.77

Yes position

Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.4

No position

Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.8

Yes position

Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.67

No position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.51

Yes position

Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118

Yes position

Will NewJeans perform again in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $113.1

No position

Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.59

No position

North Korea missile test by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101

No position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.47

No position

Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $88

No position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $87.49

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.5

Yes position

Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.35

No position

Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.7

Yes position

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Yes position

Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?