Polymarket Trader

arubaatlas

@arubaatlas

0x171564c2fc7a6ba13a455a0c674a074bb17adbe9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $603.49
Realized PnL: $2.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.6%
Current value: $86.49
Potential payout: $522.6
Potential profit: $436.11
Multiplier: 6.04x
User PnL: -$12.51

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $164.2
Potential payout: $496.83
Potential profit: $332.63
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $91.2

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $26.04
Potential payout: $430.43
Potential profit: $404.39
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $16.14

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $131.05
Potential payout: $209.68
Potential profit: $78.63
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $65.45
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $116.36
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $45.45

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $33.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $116.25
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $19.41
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $98.24
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.59

No position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $27.6
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $76.56
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $2.6

Over position

France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $49.49
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $52.55
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.51

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $68.97
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.67

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.97

Yes position

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.46

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.47

Over position

Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.59

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.31

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.34

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.51

FC Bayern München position

Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.85

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.82

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.09

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.16

Yes position

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.51

Belgium position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.5

No position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.49

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.74

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.39

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.47

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.76

Yes position

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.89

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.42

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.91

Over position

Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.7

No position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Norway vs. England: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5

14.3% 93.6 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 17% 117.65 shares
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Over 49% 102.04 shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

23.1% 63.55 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

No 29% 68.97 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 24% 150 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 62% 209.68 shares
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5

Over 36% 83.33 shares
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Belgium 48% 137.5 shares
Spread: Spain (-1.5) AND Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score

16.2% 54.22 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Yes 20% 100 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Under 46% 65.22 shares