Polymarket Trader

0x1718D9b6e101b7FC38a4475133DC1f1f76fE8Cee-1765846874566

0x1718d9b6e101b7fc38a4475133dc1f1f76fe8cee

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.46K
Realized PnL: $4.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $621.24
Potential payout: $8.57K
Potential profit: $7.95K
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: $240.07

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $300
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.7K
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$600

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $5.58
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $2.23K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$27.91

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $112.66
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $1.85K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$211.84

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $187.5
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$277.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $155
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $845
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$325

Yes position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$107

Yes position

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $472.89
Potential payout: $936.42
Potential profit: $463.53
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$237.5

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $179.45
Potential payout: $652.55
Potential profit: $473.1
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$6.74

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $134
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $265.99
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$138

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$204

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$260.99

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $105
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $95
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$29

No position

Will Trump say "New York" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.45
Potential profit: $153.45
User PnL: -$116.46

No position

Will Trump say "UFC" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.89
Potential profit: $134.89
User PnL: -$88.8

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $98.1
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $1.9
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.3%
Current value: $82.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $17.75
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $3.78
Potential payout: $3.81
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $636.89

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.2

No position

Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.6

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.01

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $238.65

No position

Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202

No position

Will Trump say "Third term" in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.53

No position

Will Trump say "Plastic Egg" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Chuck Norris" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $187.33

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.69

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.93

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142

No position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.19

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $129

No position

Will Trump say "Hamas" or "Hezbollah" this week? (April 5)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.67

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.77

Up position

QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.15

Yes position

Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $82

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.31

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $64.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" this week?

No 98.9% 45.8 shares
Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" this week?

No 98.8% 30 shares
Will Trump say "Pizza" in May?

No 97% 10.6 shares
Will Trump say "Uber" this week?

No 95% 7.43 shares
Will Trump say "Damn" this week?

No 95% 12.62 shares
Will Trump say "Interest rate" this week?

No 92% 10 shares
Will Trump say "Interest rate" this week?

No 91% 10 shares
Will Trump say "Interest rate" this week?

No 92% 12.5 shares
Will Trump say "Nuke" this week?

No 85% 11.65 shares
Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?

No 95% 20 shares
Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?

No 94% 17.87 shares
Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?

No 93% 21.41 shares