Polymarket Trader

cashismyfate100

0x171d0e1a06764085e3a311789eea3fcde860ab33

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.24K
Realized PnL: $742.72
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $290.36
Potential payout: $611.28
Potential profit: $320.92
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $4.51

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $468.84
Potential payout: $496.91
Potential profit: $28.08
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $68.84

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.48
Potential profit: $272.48
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $167.37
Potential payout: $199.84
Potential profit: $32.47
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $17.37

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $131.58
User PnL: -$50

No position

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $108.6
Potential payout: $121.34
Potential profit: $12.74
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $6.6

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $44.49
Potential payout: $84.75
Potential profit: $40.25
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$5.51

No position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $54.14
Potential payout: $57.08
Potential profit: $2.94
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.14

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.91
Potential profit: $53.91
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $28.97
Potential payout: $51.28
Potential profit: $22.31
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $8.97

No position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.18
Potential profit: $49.18
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.56
Potential profit: $45.56
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $27.54
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $3.23
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $7.54

No position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $21.69
Potential payout: $25.97
Potential profit: $4.29
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.69

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$11.95

No position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$9.55

No position

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $13.88
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $1.13
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.63

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 77.1%
Current value: $9.26
Potential payout: $12.02
Potential profit: $2.76
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$0.74

No position

Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.06
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.47

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.22

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.74

Yes position

Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.13

No position

Will Russia join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.48

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

Yes position

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.92

Yes position

Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.41

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.99

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.86

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.74

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.07

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.36

Yes position

Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

No position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

No position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

No position

Starmer out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.8

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.21

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

No position

Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 37.1% 53.91 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 63% 111.11 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

No 61% 49.18 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

No 73% 41.1 shares
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

No 47.8% 20 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 59% 5 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

No 55% 20 shares
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

No 75.3% 66.4 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

No 81% 50 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

No 78.4% 50 shares
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

No 74.9% 133.44 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

No 84% 119.05 shares