No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $147
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $53
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $11
Polymarket Trader
xiuyaxiu
0x172d472f2e337c061e684eb90b8bca1fd8a636ca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $147
- Realized PnL
- $431.48
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.85
- Potential profit
- $110.85
- User PnL
- -$103.09
No position
Will Solana reach $180 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.06
- Potential profit
- $45.06
- User PnL
- -$42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Dittman tweet between 60 and 69 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
No position
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 49.0% and 49.4% on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
No position
Will any of Trump’s children launch a coin by Friday?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.5
No position
Will Dittman tweet between 110 and 119 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29
Yes position
Will Trump impose tariffs on Mexico before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.5
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Yes position
Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Dogecoin above $0.30 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
No position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
No position
Will Netanyahu visit Egypt in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will Solana reach $180 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.81
Qinwen Zheng position
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Kenin
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
New York Mets position
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.62
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1900 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.93
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No 31.1% 200 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 40% 182.23 shares
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No 66% 142.5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 41% 15 shares
- Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 33% 200 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 32% 181 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 72% 200 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?No 62% 32.67 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?No 63% 167.33 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 24.8% 200 shares
- Starmer out by June 24, 2026?No 9% 8.9 shares
- Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 88% 200 shares