Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $386.78
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $2.28K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$228.79
Polymarket Trader
Hades369
0x1745a7a644f9cbc400ff36172dbe449cec2962a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $435.81
- Realized PnL
- -$13.33
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $36.85
- Potential payout
- $294.78
- Potential profit
- $257.93
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$45.15
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $10.76
- Potential payout
- $195.6
- Potential profit
- $184.85
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$16.24
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.42
- Potential profit
- $140.42
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $19.05
- Potential profit
- $17.62
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19% 1,749.11 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 127.93 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 28% 14.29 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 12% 33.33 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 13% 38.46 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 172.41 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 32% 262.5 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 15% 6.67 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 15% 6.67 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 14% 50 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 26% 26.92 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 34% 137.47 shares