Polymarket Trader

Johnhalo-702

0x17521663abbf64509f62a87cc9ea5d93dadcddad

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.42
Realized PnL: $25.02
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $251.25
Potential profit: $251.25
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $18.86
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.2%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $5.32
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$2

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.14
Potential profit: $5.14
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.11
Potential profit: $2.11
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.29

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.61

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 29, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 5, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 6, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Yes 14% 21.43 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 251.25 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?

Yes 94% 5.32 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 6, 2026?

Yes 94% 5.32 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 5, 2026?

Yes 91% 5.49 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 4, 2026?

Yes 94% 5.32 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 3, 2026?

Yes 95% 5.26 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Yes 38% 5.26 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?

Yes 95% 2.11 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?

Yes 94% 2.13 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?

Yes 92% 2.17 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?

Yes 94% 2.13 shares