TLHP

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.93
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on July 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.71
Multiplier: 16.95x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.28
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on July 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C or below on July 19?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.28
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.92
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.53
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.73
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.1
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.83
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$2.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.03
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on July 20?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.6
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.33
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $1.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $21.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 96.7%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 96%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $1.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 17.6%
Multiplier: 5.70x
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 76%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 20?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 7%
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on July 20?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 6.6%
Multiplier: 15.15x
User PnL: -$0.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on July 20?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 19?