Yes position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $5.69
- Potential payout
- $711.58
- Potential profit
- $705.89
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.33
Polymarket Trader
alexalex111
0x176f72be43224823344d7d2ad36fd35c096c460a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $227.82
- Realized PnL
- $657.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Frunza position
Radtke vs. Frunza
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $501.62
- Potential profit
- $501.62
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.6
- Potential profit
- $344.6
- User PnL
- -$39.89
Belgium position
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $256.41
- Potential profit
- $256.41
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $11.05
- Potential payout
- $210.46
- Potential profit
- $199.42
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.7%
- Current value
- $19.75
- Potential payout
- $168.77
- Potential profit
- $149.03
- Multiplier
- 8.55x
- User PnL
- $6.1
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $18.21
- Potential payout
- $141.71
- Potential profit
- $123.5
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.18
- Potential profit
- $139.18
- User PnL
- -$89.87
Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.97
- Potential profit
- $128.97
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $35.58
- Potential payout
- $118.61
- Potential profit
- $83.02
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $3.44
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $33.15
- Potential payout
- $116.37
- Potential profit
- $83.22
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $11.15
- Potential payout
- $106.18
- Potential profit
- $95.03
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Alex Pereira position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.15
- Potential profit
- $96.15
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.17
- Potential profit
- $95.17
- User PnL
- -$51.34
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $94.03
- Potential profit
- $93.56
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.55
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.08
- Potential profit
- $78.08
- User PnL
- -$9.37
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $45.48
- Potential payout
- $74.56
- Potential profit
- $29.08
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $72.67
- Potential profit
- $70.67
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$2.36
No position
Will England win?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $45.29
- Potential payout
- $65.64
- Potential profit
- $20.36
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $8.95
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$5
Los Angeles Angels position
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.64
- Potential profit
- $44.64
- User PnL
- -$17.41
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 DR Congo?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.44
- Potential profit
- $44.44
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.67
Yes position
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.91
Over position
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.88
No position
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.32
Athletics position
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.18
Usyk position
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.09
Yes position
Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.69
Diego Lopes position
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.13
Washington Nationals position
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.35
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.63
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.22
No position
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.04
No position
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.57
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.42
No position
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.84
Sarah Rakotomanga position
Brescia: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Mia Ristic
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.9
Yes position
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.83
Despina Papamichail position
ITF Blois: Clara Burel vs Despina Papamichail
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.28
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.36
Toronto Blue Jays position
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.06
No position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.54
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Juan Manuel La Serna position
Asuncion 2: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Juan Manuel La Serna
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 37% 10.92 shares
- Will England win?No 72% 1.43 shares
- Will England win?Yes 33% 4.24 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 61% 7.64 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 61% 3.31 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 61% 3.31 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 61% 19.67 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 62% 4.84 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 62% 3.03 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 62% 1.94 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 62% 2.42 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 62% 3.18 shares