Polymarket Trader

RichBou

0x1777b97ce00517d72dfb904ac670e504e7def809

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $361.92
Realized PnL: $175.68
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $64.94
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$35.06

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $5.68
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $448.86
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.53
Potential profit: $61.53
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $40.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $9.75
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$2.75

No position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $47.73
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $2.27
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $24.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $25.75
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $5.75

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $37.58
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $2.42
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.78

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $27.87
Potential payout: $33.78
Potential profit: $5.91
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $2.87

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $3.39
Potential payout: $33.06
Potential profit: $29.67
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$0.61

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $27.52
Potential payout: $32.86
Potential profit: $5.34
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$2.48

Yes position

Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.35
Potential profit: $32.35
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $23.53
Potential payout: $25.43
Potential profit: $1.91
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.7%
Current value: $5.72
Potential payout: $25.26
Potential profit: $19.53
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: -$4.28

Yes position

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $22.38
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?

Ends Jan 19, 2027

Implied probability: 49.6%
Current value: $11.56
Potential payout: $23.31
Potential profit: $11.75
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $3.61
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.39
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $2.61

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $18.91
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $1.09
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $9.83
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.93

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $8.93
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$6

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $6.93
Potential payout: $6.94
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.34

Yes position

Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.6

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.04

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.31

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.8

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.38

No position

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.05

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $6.62

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

No position

Will Trump say "World Cup" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32

No position

Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

Yes position

Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 37% 5.41 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 86% 2.33 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 94.4% 50 shares
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 99.6% 5 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 22% 15 shares
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Yes 30% 16.67 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 29% 15 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 82% 40 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 11% 20 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 64% 30 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

Yes 18% 10 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 67% 20 shares