Yes position
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.8%
- Current value
- $202.11
- Potential payout
- $727
- Potential profit
- $524.89
- Multiplier
- 3.60x
- User PnL
- -$45.8
Polymarket Trader
CraigRoberson3892
0x177a7f1938c3992c45a8e16b24071c913cc5aa8e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $810.19
- Realized PnL
- $3.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $217.6
- Potential payout
- $640
- Potential profit
- $422.4
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$19.2
No position
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $365.96
- Potential payout
- $382
- Potential profit
- $16.04
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $64.18
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $294.9
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$48.9
Yes position
Rippling IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $60.55
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$17.85
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $389.08
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.75
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.72
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $266.19
No position
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.6
Yes position
Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $202.35
No position
Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $197.4
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.46
Yes position
Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $175.53
Yes position
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $171.6
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $157.44
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.51
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $124.6
Jacksonville State Gamecocks position
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.83
Yes position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $107.1
No position
Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.54
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.84
Yes position
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $94.36
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.2
No position
Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.27
No position
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.46
Yes position
Will Trump say "Maduro" during the announcement on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.07
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.9
No position
Will Trump say "Election" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $73.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?No 37% 547 shares
- Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No 71% 209 shares
- Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No 69% 450 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 69% 45 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 69% 272 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 69% 211 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 69% 27 shares
- Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No 81% 659 shares
- Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No 90.5% 641 shares
- Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win 95 or more seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No 69% 924 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 68% 555 shares
- Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No 74.9% 646 shares