Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $350
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $99.65K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
gagagagasad
0x1786215dc06190e8a9a78db8b2dad459c22b9b8c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $350
- Realized PnL
- $2.26K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $917.83
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $872.73
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $490
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.95
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.92
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$336.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 56% 3,054.32 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 58% 1,583.66 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 43% 1,072.58 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 98.2% 7.6 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 98.3% 58.88 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 93% 1,612.9 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 91% 549.45 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?Yes 99.4% 3,896.1 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 94% 531.91 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?Yes 77% 3,896.1 shares