Yes position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Polymarket Trader
0x17ab...aa0c
0x17ab2a0cbe034a5b95a9af2a763a23f9a79daa0c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $31.86
- Realized PnL
- $1.05
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $11.23
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $7.11
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.71
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $8.24
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $5.29
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $13.05
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Multiplier
- 16.95x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.9%
- Multiplier
- 3.35x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.6%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$13.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 3.8% 27 shares
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?No 90.8% 7 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No 75% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 93.4% 11 shares
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?No 95.2% 6 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 89% 17 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 11% 39 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 91% 9 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 9% 15 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 77% 6 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 81% 12 shares
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 89% 12 shares