No position
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?
Ends Jan 29, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $6.19
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $15.55
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $1.19
Polymarket Trader
Bstandal
0x17adef436e12d04e8e10d44447cd6e1c84f31800
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $78.6
- Realized PnL
- $7.48
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.1
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Ends Jan 29, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $16.27
- Potential profit
- $14.4
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $15.34
- Potential payout
- $15.4
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.25
- Potential payout
- $11.26
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $9.24
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $6.02
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $5.24
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5.18
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $4.45
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Paul LePage be the Republican Nominee for ME-02?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes 7% 16.27 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?No 96.6% 5.18 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?No 95.5% 5.24 shares
- Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?No 94% 5.32 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 92% 5.43 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 78% 6.41 shares
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No 25% 20 shares
- Databricks IPO before 2027?No 83% 6.02 shares
- Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?No 23% 21.74 shares
- Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?No 99.4% 9.16 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 99.2% 10.37 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 98.4% 11.66 shares