Polymarket Trader

CIXIN118

0x17affe873233459aecaa31fe01a159a1bd155ab7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $75.14
Realized PnL: $639.74
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$79.89

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$32.4

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $41.25
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $258.75
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$8.55

Under position

Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$44.1

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $33.89
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $26.1
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $5.09

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.79

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.67

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.62

Yes position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.96

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Yes 48% 59.99 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 2% 1,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 1.8% 374.15 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 3.6% 900 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.6% 300 shares
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5

Under 8% 200 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 53% 100 shares
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

Yes 80.8% 80 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Yes 42% 105 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

No 69% 144.93 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 44% 22.73 shares
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Yes 93.9% 142.85 shares