Polymarket Trader

zirameke

@ArsenicTea65559

0x17be7d0e5145e06b7cde18a3abceb57eeb1d7a33

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.14K
Realized PnL: $3.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

South Carolina State Bulldogs position

South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. South Dakota Coyotes

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $2.09K
User PnL: -$522.25

Yes position

Will Lesli Linka Glatter - Zero Day win Best Director for a Limited or Anthology Series at the 78th DGA Awards?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$172.62

Campbell Fighting Camels position

Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $443
Potential payout: $886
Potential profit: $443
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$336.68

No position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $631.13
Potential payout: $825
Potential profit: $193.88
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $111.38

OpenAI position

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $22.65
Potential payout: $809
Potential profit: $786.35
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$197.4

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have 190mm or more of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $801
Potential profit: $801
User PnL: -$368.46

No position

Will "AI" be said 15+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $772
Potential profit: $772
User PnL: -$347.4

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769
Potential profit: $769
User PnL: -$392.19

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $718
Potential profit: $718
User PnL: -$157.96

No position

Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Robot" or "Robotic" or "Robotics" during NYC rally?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $689
Potential profit: $689
User PnL: -$89.57

Over position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $610
Potential profit: $610
User PnL: -$372.1

Yes position

Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $492
Potential profit: $492
User PnL: -$167.28

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $379
Potential profit: $379
User PnL: -$261.51

No position

Will Shayne say "Trump" during 60 Minutes?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158
Potential profit: $158
User PnL: -$77.42

Yes position

Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141
Potential profit: $141
User PnL: -$19.88

No position

Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $61
User PnL: -$57.68

Yes position

Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.06
Potential profit: $51.06
User PnL: -$0.66

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $43.48
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $12.17

Yes position

Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win less than 12% of votes in the first round?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.8
Potential profit: $14.8
User PnL: -$1.89

Yes position

Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.8
Potential profit: $13.8
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $1.54
User PnL: -$0.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Ethena be the top performing crypto for the week of March 9?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $521.42

No position

Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.46

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.19

Yes position

Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000 voters?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.39

Yes position

Will Marta Barbará as Kaoruko Waguri (The Fragrant Flower Blooms With Dignity) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Castilian Spanish) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $167.54

No position

Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.35

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.8

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $135.21

Over position

Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.68

Yes position

Will David Hann be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $129.6

No position

Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.6

No position

Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $120.12

No position

Will Melania say "Knowledge is power" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.5

Yes position

Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.27

Yes position

Will Trump post "CNN Fake News" or "Fake News CNN" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $110.24

Yes position

Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $99.74

No position

Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $95.52

No position

Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.73

No position

Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $90.64

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $87.12

Yes position

Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $86.4

Yes position

Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.99

Yes position

Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.92

Yes position

Will GERB-SDS win between 60-64 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $73.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Robot" or "Robotic" or "Robotics" during NYC rally?

No 6% 1,222 shares
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 44-48% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

No 82% 276 shares
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 44-48% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

No 82% 290 shares
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" during NYC rally?

No 34% 609 shares
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" during NYC rally?

No 34% 10 shares
Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?

No 25% 781 shares
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Robot" or "Robotic" or "Robotics" during NYC rally?

No 13% 1,911 shares
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 44-48% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

No 85% 566 shares
Will "AI" be said 15+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

No 45% 772 shares
Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?

No 26% 781 shares
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" during NYC rally?

No 37% 619 shares
Will Powell say "Goods inflation" during April press conference?

No 36% 119 shares