Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $105.88
- Potential payout
- $175
- Potential profit
- $69.13
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$7.88
Polymarket Trader
binarytrees
0x17c2023b4877f030aea1e29fed10efdc10881bcc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $105.88
- Realized PnL
- $19.45
- Win rate
- 68.2%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.44
- Potential profit
- $40.44
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.65
- Potential profit
- $17.65
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.77
- Potential profit
- $11.77
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 22°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 22°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 65% 158.09 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 89% 7.94 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 98.1% 1.42 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.3% 5.4 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 99.1% 103.95 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 79.1% 103.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 4?Yes 2% 21.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 4?Yes 14.3% 21.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 3?Yes 18% 16.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 3?Yes 7.4% 40.44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 2?Yes 38% 7.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 1?Yes 17% 17.65 shares