Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $89.27
- Potential payout
- $452
- Potential profit
- $362.73
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- -$136.73
Polymarket Trader
Felix4217-
0x17c3f73900e5c52b5a475f60e8cd0476c77125af
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $452
- Realized PnL
- $254.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Current value
- $362.73
- Potential payout
- $452
- Potential profit
- $89.27
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $136.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.65
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C or below on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or below on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C or higher on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C or higher on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C or below on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C or higher on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 44°C or higher on June 26?No 99.1% 9.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on June 26?No 99.5% 9.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on June 26?No 99.2% 9.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 26?No 99.8% 9.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on June 25?No 99.3% 9.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 25?No 99.9% 9.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or below on June 26?No 99.8% 9.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on June 26?No 99.8% 10.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 24?No 99.9% 9.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 23?No 99.9% 9.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 23?No 99.9% 9.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 24?No 99.9% 9.51 shares