Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $732.94
- Potential payout
- $5.05K
- Potential profit
- $4.32K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$367.17
Polymarket Trader
Pmd37
0x17d4df72f27880f1590de68d753a217a4355f68b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $733.35
- Realized PnL
- $45.44
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $30.21
- Potential profit
- $29.8
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$19.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.52
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.66x
- User PnL
- $14.81
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- $1.57
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Multiplier
- 10.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.75
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19% 526.32 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 20% 500 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 16.2% 615.97 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19% 526.32 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 16% 625 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 20% 500 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 27% 36.63 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 28% 142.86 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 28% 178.57 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 32% 93.75 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 345.86 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 27% 134.74 shares