Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $205.88
- Potential profit
- $205.88
- User PnL
- -$7
Polymarket Trader
0x17d9...32fb
0x17d9cda8c93b47026c59d25b02cebd5d565a32fb
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $10.46
- Realized PnL
- -$0.73
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.22
- Potential profit
- $92.22
- User PnL
- -$8.3
Yes position
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $23.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $16.39
- Potential profit
- $15.75
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $8.05
- Potential payout
- $8.2
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.05
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $5.93
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.38
- Potential profit
- $5.38
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 37.2% 5.38 shares
- No one announced as next James Bond?Yes 61% 8.2 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 3.4% 205.88 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13% 7.69 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Yes 79% 1.27 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes 12% 30 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes 9% 111.11 shares
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?No 4.9% 20.41 shares
- Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?Yes 4.3% 23.26 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.1% 16.39 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes 9% 11.11 shares