No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $36.91
- Potential payout
- $210.89
- Potential profit
- $173.98
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $13.54
Polymarket Trader
0x17dd...cb83
0x17dd610776c28724261b992716391e904f8ccb83
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $371.92
- Realized PnL
- $455.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $97.29
- Potential payout
- $98.02
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- User PnL
- $3.92
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $47.53
- Potential payout
- $54.95
- Potential profit
- $7.42
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $46.05
- Potential payout
- $46.75
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.27
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $24.74
- Potential payout
- $43.79
- Potential profit
- $19.05
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$2.64
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $24.82
- Potential payout
- $26.05
- Potential profit
- $1.24
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $16.08
- Potential payout
- $24.55
- Potential profit
- $8.47
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $14.97
- Potential payout
- $17.92
- Potential profit
- $2.96
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $9.87
- Potential payout
- $16.88
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $3.17
- Potential payout
- $15.86
- Potential profit
- $12.69
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.83
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $10.82
- Potential payout
- $10.83
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.63
- Potential payout
- $9.63
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.32
Y
Yes position
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.86
- Potential payout
- $7.87
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $6.9
- Potential profit
- $6.05
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $6.17
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.49
- Potential payout
- $5.49
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $4.19
- Potential payout
- $4.21
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.33
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.7%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.3
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.05
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.16
Gabriel Bonfim position
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.82
No position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.08
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.39
Ciryl Gane position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.6
No position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.58
Over position
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.22
No position
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.65
Over position
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.8
Tamara Korpatsch position
Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu Wang
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
Germany position
Spread: Germany (-3.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.51
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.82
Hurricanes position
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.03
Édgar Cháirez position
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.02
No position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.81
Mitch Raposo position
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88
Iwo Baraniewski position
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69
Under position
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
N
No position
Portugal leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
No position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Josh Hokit position
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
Luana Santos position
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
United States position
Spread: United States (-1.5)
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.5% 1.01 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.5% 60.62 shares
- Weed rescheduled by June 30?No 99.9% 1 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.2% 1.01 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 60% 20.12 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 65% 1.54 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 65% 1.54 shares
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Yes 98.3% 1.02 shares
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Yes 97.1% 1.03 shares
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Yes 98.9% 1.54 shares
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Yes 98% 1.02 shares
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Yes 92% 1.09 shares