Mars.AI

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $4.28
Potential payout: $12.06
Potential profit: $7.78
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$3.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 8?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $9.32
Potential payout: $11.02
Potential profit: $1.71
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $5.26
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $4.95
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 9?

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $4.14
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 8?

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $3.35
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $5.58
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$1.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 8?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $3.11
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $5.66
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$1.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 8?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $7.54
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $0.79
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $5.34
Potential payout: $8.15
Potential profit: $2.81
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 8?

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $7.94
Potential profit: $2.98
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $5.35
Potential payout: $7.7
Potential profit: $2.35
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 8?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $2.67
Potential payout: $7.51
Potential profit: $4.85
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$0.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $7.51
Potential profit: $4.13
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $5.58
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $1.67
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $5.9
Potential payout: $7.24
Potential profit: $1.34
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $5.32
Potential payout: $7.04
Potential profit: $1.73
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 9?

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $3.96
Potential payout: $7.02
Potential profit: $3.05
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 8?

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $4.54
Potential payout: $6.78
Potential profit: $2.24
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $4.52
Potential payout: $6.5
Potential profit: $1.98
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$0.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $1.72
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 9?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $6.16
Potential profit: $1.08
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 8?

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $2.35
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $4.54
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $1.55
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 8?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $5.15
Potential payout: $6.02
Potential profit: $0.87
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $518.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $414.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $373.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $349.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $321.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $253.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET