Polymarket Trader

w271

0x17ec5f15430ef9c396556c421f7b549b78c031b1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $194.67K
Realized PnL: $289.64K
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $150.77K
Potential payout: $151K
Potential profit: $226.5
User PnL: $75.5

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $24.86K
Potential payout: $24.87K
Potential profit: $12.43
User PnL: $37.3

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $18.28K
Potential payout: $18.29K
Potential profit: $9.15
User PnL: $27.44

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $759.26
Potential payout: $759.64
Potential profit: $0.38
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9.09

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9.09

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9.09

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9.09

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9.09

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9.09

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9.09

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C or higher on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.64K

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.33K

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.73K

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.91K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $411.94

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.91

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.91

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C or below on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C or below on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.09

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: -$260.2

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$11.6K

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.63K

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26.36K

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26.36K

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26.36K

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26.36K

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26.36K

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26.36K

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26.36K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 1,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 150,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 18,291.38 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 759.64 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 24,869.58 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 97.6% 13,380.89 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 97.7% 38,686.36 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 98.4% 21,892.3 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 98.3% 5,846.34 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.7% 100 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.1% 50,000 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 0.1% 10,461.56 shares