Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $16.34K
- Potential payout
- $34.77K
- Potential profit
- $18.43K
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $4.07K
Polymarket Trader
0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86
0x17ed7dbfdcfe228016ac50571182f974d59ac087
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.79K
- Realized PnL
- $88.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $11.42K
- Potential payout
- $34.6K
- Potential profit
- $23.18K
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $4.99K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18K
- Potential profit
- $18K
- User PnL
- -$781.94
Yes position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.5K
- Potential profit
- $13.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.55K
- Potential profit
- $12.55K
- User PnL
- -$561.71
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $10.98K
- Potential payout
- $11.6K
- Potential profit
- $620.49
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$160
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.64K
- Potential profit
- $8.64K
- User PnL
- -$594.14
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $8K
- User PnL
- -$599.99
No position
Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $8K
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.35K
- Potential profit
- $7.35K
- User PnL
- -$161.59
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $7.14K
- Potential payout
- $7.2K
- Potential profit
- $61.23
- User PnL
- $133.07
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $6.89K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $112
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.03K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.4K
- Potential profit
- $5.4K
- User PnL
- -$1.57K
Yes position
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.59K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $9.25K
No position
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.72K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.34K
Yes position
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43K
No position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42K
No position
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 5-8%?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07K
Yes position
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
Yes position
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 13 of the World Chess Championship?
Ends Dec 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
Yes position
Will turnout be between 44% and 48% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
No position
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the World Rapid Championship?
Ends Dec 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 8-11%?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82K
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11–11.5m?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
No position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
Will Kim Moon-soo win between 35% and 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 26% 240 shares
- Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?No 63.3% 582.66 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes 41% 5 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 32 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 86.5% 2,061.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 75.6% 99.8 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 19% 31.08 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 52% 999.99 shares
- Starmer out by June 15, 2026?Yes 0.4% 2.97 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 18% 56 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 18% 26 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 18% 26 shares