No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.69
- User PnL
- $54.07
Polymarket Trader
one.piece
0x180a6723d150af39a5c40e0761321942e5728c61
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.48K
- Realized PnL
- $76.17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $76.84
- Potential payout
- $78.93
- Potential profit
- $2.09
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $14.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $35.25
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$13.75
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $22.18
- Potential payout
- $48.21
- Potential profit
- $26.03
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $29.4
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $5.6
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $18.5
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $6.5
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
No position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $19.81
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $19.28
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.68
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.99
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $4.39
No position
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $19.78
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.98
No position
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.99
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $14.96
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $1.46
N
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $14.77
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.62
No position
Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $14.66
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $14.92
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $2.62
No position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $14.4
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $14.93
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $2.93
No position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $6.55
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47
Y
Yes position
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18
Y
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
No position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.28
N
No position
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.31
No position
Will Luigi Petrone win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will Cristiano Sicari win the 2026 Chieti mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 85% 5 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?No 99.8% 10 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 94.8% 4.08 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 95.3% 5 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 95.1% 21.76 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 99.6% 29 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 95.8% 571.43 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 95.6% 159 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 94.5% 243.92 shares
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?No 89% 53 shares
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?No 88% 7 shares
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?No 92% 10 shares