Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $3.35
- Potential payout
- $4.82
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Polymarket Trader
kiwiweather
0x181b9ede87f9e7bb399ae3118e54028a445825fe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.38
- Realized PnL
- $5.93
- Win rate
- 90%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $3.96
- Potential payout
- $4.07
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $2.46
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $1.24
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 15?No 97% 1.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15?Yes 60% 4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 14?Yes 56% 4.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 14?No 97.7% 1.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on July 13?No 96.5% 1.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 13?Yes 50% 6.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?Yes 59% 4.07 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 14?No 98% 1.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 12?No 97.2% 1.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 12?Yes 50% 6.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 13?Yes 67% 4.39 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 11?Yes 63% 2.54 shares