Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $145.24
- Potential payout
- $165.99
- Potential profit
- $20.75
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.24
Polymarket Trader
0x18218Ddf1b6147EA1EaB2b83983BDE5503AdD2Ea-1759949844225
0x18218ddf1b6147ea1eab2b83983bde5503add2ea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $154.78
- Realized PnL
- $44.25
- Win rate
- 53.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $53.14
- Potential profit
- $51.26
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$28.12
Yes position
Will MrBeast get married by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $7.57
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $7.13
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.42
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.48
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.85
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.97
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.64
No position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.27
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 78.4% 51.05 shares
- Will MrBeast get married by December 31?Yes 68% 14.71 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?Yes 24% 12.5 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?Yes 56.5% 53.14 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 87% 114.94 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 88.3% 29.41 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 91% 125.06 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 4.5% 20 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 6% 16.66 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Yes 1.6% 45.45 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Yes 11% 45.45 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 6% 16.67 shares