Yes position
Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.86K
- Potential profit
- $171.86K
- User PnL
- -$5.42K
Polymarket Trader
farmyboi
0x1823757d22022f81a8fa1536d63101fe458884d8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.48K
- Realized PnL
- $628.09K
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will a Republican win New Jersey Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.63K
- Potential profit
- $65.63K
- User PnL
- -$2.71K
Yes position
Will a Republican win California Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.42K
- Potential profit
- $32.42K
- User PnL
- -$619.82
No position
Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.13K
- Potential profit
- $14.13K
- User PnL
- -$2.82K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.43K
- Potential profit
- $12.43K
- User PnL
- -$425.96
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.48K
- Potential payout
- $10.94K
- Potential profit
- $9.46K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$583.83
No position
Will a Democrat win California Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.44K
- Potential profit
- $10.44K
- User PnL
- -$260.78
Yes position
Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.03K
- Potential profit
- $8.03K
- User PnL
- -$1.66K
Yes position
Will Trump remove Jerome Powell in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.46K
- Potential profit
- $6.46K
- User PnL
- -$451.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $629.32K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$207.72
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.03K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 20% 4,997.84 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 17.8% 5,622.07 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 31.6% 396.79 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 32% 3,120.31 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 32.5% 3,047.4 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 34.1% 6,483.5 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 35.1% 3,729.97 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 39.4% 5,492.3 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 39% 8,593.89 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 38.8% 2,206.74 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 38.7% 559.48 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 38.6% 1,700 shares