Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.25K
- Potential profit
- $95.25K
- User PnL
- -$952.48
Polymarket Trader
cha1234
0x182b33d2da76230f06c46dec5cb7af4db10987e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $214.53
- Realized PnL
- -$1.46K
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.4%
- Current value
- $214.53
- Potential payout
- $684.32
- Potential profit
- $469.78
- Multiplier
- 3.19x
- User PnL
- $14.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.18
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$10.05
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.73K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 29.2% 684.32 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Yes 74.1% 256.45 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Yes 78% 256.45 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes 53% 565.87 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes 52% 17.31 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 1% 95,248 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.1% 663,203.33 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.5% 200,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.3% 463,203.33 shares