Polymarket Trader

0x1838ba094e24030D8383c99E3CB36Ee7644E68F0-1771613533259

0x1838ba094e24030d8383c99e3cb36ee7644e68f0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $107.38
Realized PnL: $1.42K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.13K
Potential profit: $7.13K
User PnL: -$54.27

Yes position

Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $726.18
Potential profit: $726.18
User PnL: -$289.58

Yes position

Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $516.13
Potential profit: $516.13
User PnL: -$25.71

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $98.96
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $109.38
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$1.04

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $167.96
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$22.73

Yes position

Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153.85
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.89
Potential profit: $152.89
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.78
Potential profit: $139.78
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.75
Potential profit: $136.75
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $6.38
Potential payout: $116.06
Potential profit: $109.68
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.13
Potential profit: $103.13
User PnL: -$33

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$40

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.14
Potential profit: $36.14
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $392.57

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.73

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.48

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.44

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $108.11

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.09

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.35

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.85

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.67

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.66

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.47

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.66

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.97

Yes position

Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.82

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

Yes position

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $9

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.38

Yes position

Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.68

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.58

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 6% 116.06 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 48% 208.33 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 0.3% 3,333.33 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 1% 660 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 4.3% 1,410 shares
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 8.3% 308 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 1.4% 610 shares
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 4% 252.65 shares
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 18% 55.56 shares
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 13.2% 315.76 shares
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 7% 257.14 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 92% 36.58 shares