Polymarket Trader

lupanar

@lupanar86

0x18459cca59abc6ae1e47e51ca2ee805e6a0f6115

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $49.82
Realized PnL: -$12.39
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $10.61
Potential payout: $964.28
Potential profit: $953.68
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $4.53

Yes position

Will Diana Shnaider be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $6.8
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $793.2
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $16.98
Potential payout: $566
Potential profit: $549.02
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: $14.15

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $493.75
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $8.68
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $191.32
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5.75

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $23
User PnL: -$2.99

Yes position

Will "Hamnet" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.48
Potential profit: $20.48
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$1.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.16

Yes position

Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $5.48

Yes position

Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will Alexander Bublik be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Dreamcash launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.4

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.3% 200 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 500 shares
Will Diana Shnaider be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Yes 0.6% 800 shares
Will Alexander Bublik be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 0.6% 550.34 shares
Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?

Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 23% 25 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 26% 40 shares
Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Yes 0.5% 230.89 shares
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 11.9% 4.5 shares
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 11.6% 38 shares
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 17.5% 12.49 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 200 shares