Yes position
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 4800 (LOW) in Q1 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.95
- Potential profit
- $769.95
- User PnL
- -$19.55
Polymarket Trader
Quadriga
0x184cb5f97679291ff8ba0dcf7fc247cda16661df
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3
- Realized PnL
- $286.06
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.42
- Potential profit
- $555.42
- User PnL
- -$1.11
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.94
- Potential profit
- $499.94
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $491.42
- Potential profit
- $491.42
- User PnL
- -$4.91
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $491.42
- Potential profit
- $491.42
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Yes position
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $491.42
- Potential profit
- $491.42
- User PnL
- -$1.31
Yes position
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $250B and $300B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $491.42
- Potential profit
- $491.42
- User PnL
- -$3.33
No position
Will Pau win?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $491.42
- Potential profit
- $491.42
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Yes position
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $491.42
- Potential profit
- $491.42
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Yes position
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $491.42
- Potential profit
- $491.42
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Yes position
Will Immanuel Quickley lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $491.42
- Potential profit
- $491.42
- User PnL
- -$4.69
Yes position
Will XRP reach $2.00 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $491.42
- Potential profit
- $491.42
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $491.42
- Potential profit
- $491.42
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $491.37
- Potential profit
- $491.37
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $383.59
- Potential profit
- $383.59
- User PnL
- -$6.03
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $381.9
- Potential profit
- $381.9
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Will Poland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $335.46
- Potential profit
- $335.46
- User PnL
- -$2.35
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $40 on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $328.31
- Potential profit
- $328.31
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 42°C or higher on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $299.25
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C or higher on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $299.98
- Potential profit
- $297.73
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $298.07
- Potential profit
- $298.07
- User PnL
- -$2.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.12
- Potential profit
- $285.12
- User PnL
- -$2.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 58-59°F on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.1
- Potential profit
- $285.1
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C or higher on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Will Sam Reinhart win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or higher on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trae Young lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or higher on July 15?Yes 0.7% 152.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 42°C or higher on July 15?Yes 0.6% 300 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETDown 13% 4.37 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETDown 17% 4.4 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETDown 28% 4.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 10?Yes 1.8% 15.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 11?Yes 0.8% 270.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on April 10?Yes 0.5% 270.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 10?Yes 0.5% 270.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C on April 12?Yes 0.8% 270.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 11?Yes 26% 10.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C on April 10?Yes 0.7% 34.88 shares