Polymarket Trader

Mike3

0x1854866893e1cf2aa0b318b03f2fa8e00a9cd1a3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $142.53
Realized PnL: $4.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $488.75
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $6.25

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $38.44
Potential payout: $411.1
Potential profit: $372.66
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $15.39
Potential payout: $258.62
Potential profit: $243.23
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $7.12
Potential payout: $241.38
Potential profit: $234.26
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235.29
Potential profit: $235.29
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $5.33
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $212.07
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $24.26
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $122.79
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.86
Potential profit: $67.86
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $14.67
Potential payout: $65.22
Potential profit: $50.54
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.2%
Current value: $20.96
Potential payout: $54.86
Potential profit: $33.9
Multiplier: 2.62x
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $5.11
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $38.37
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $0.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.78
Potential profit: $26.78
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $20m or more but less than $23m opening weekend?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

No position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $654.4

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $521.01

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.71

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.43

Yes position

Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75-79?

Ends Jun 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.03

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.13

Yes position

Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19m and $22m?

Ends Aug 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.1

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.59

Yes position

Will "Materialists" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $10m and $13m?

Ends Jun 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

Yes position

Will 'Bring Her Back' gross more than $6.5m opening weekend?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.78

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.03

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 23–30?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Up 24% 20.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Down 22% 22.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Down 36% 13.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Up 23% 21.74 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.4% 26.04 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 23% 21.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Up 22% 22.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Down 15% 33.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Down 28% 17.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Down 30% 16.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Up 33% 15.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Up 43% 11.63 shares