Polymarket Trader

0x1856747d92A55Ffe5F8294f1916Ae514E509506e-1775667332108

0x1856747d92a55ffe5f8294f1916ae514e509506e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.01K
Realized PnL: $1.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $686.98
Potential payout: $5.09K
Potential profit: $4.4K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$863.01

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $2.35K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$49.45

Yes position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $96.01
Potential payout: $768.12
Potential profit: $672.1
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$53.98

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $694.36
Potential profit: $693.32
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$47.56

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $49.29
Potential payout: $657.14
Potential profit: $607.86
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$30.71

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $55.88
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $532.35
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$44.12

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $102.94
Potential payout: $534.76
Potential profit: $431.82
Multiplier: 5.19x
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $21.43
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $335.71
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$28.57

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303.03
Potential profit: $303.03
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.38
Potential profit: $234.38
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $230.95
Potential profit: $230.84
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.88

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.19

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Yes 15% 333.33 shares
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Yes 24% 145.83 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 18.7% 534.76 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 20% 250 shares
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Yes 8% 250 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Yes 23% 217.39 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?

Yes 7% 285.71 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Yes 12.8% 234.38 shares
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Yes 10% 300 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 31% 3,225.81 shares
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?

Yes 12% 833.33 shares
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Yes 13% 1,538.46 shares