Polymarket Trader

AnonDWM

0x1856a2172f7232f61e69e5c881af22396121bea7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.76K
Realized PnL: $512.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $2.72K
Potential profit: $1.68K
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $636.26

No position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $515.4
Potential payout: $589.03
Potential profit: $73.63
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $130.5

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $192.69
Potential payout: $198.03
Potential profit: $5.35
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $14.46

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.13
Potential profit: $135.13
User PnL: -$31.08

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.47
Potential profit: $117.47
User PnL: -$31.13

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$30

England position

Spread: England (-2.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.83
Potential profit: $63.83
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.5
Potential profit: $45.5
User PnL: -$31.85

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-5.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.81
Potential profit: $20.81
User PnL: -$5.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.92

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.67

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.51

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $35.78

Portugal position

Spread: Portugal (-2.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.15

Brazil position

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.22

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.6

France position

Spread: France (-2.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.85

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.3

Ghana position

Spread: England (-2.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.18

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.57

Yes position

Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.57

Yes position

Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.69

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 19, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.74

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 2nd?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.97

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

No position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.87

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 19, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 26.5% 117.47 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 23% 135.13 shares
Spread: England (-1.5)

England 49% 49.04 shares
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Yes 27% 111.11 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 56% 50.68 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 90% 198.03 shares
Spread: England (-2.5)

England 47% 63.83 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 29% 596.31 shares
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

No 95.3% 181.43 shares
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

No 96.9% 181.43 shares
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Brazil 49% 61.22 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 30% 100 shares