Magic position
Magic vs. Raptors
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- User PnL
- -$938.38
Polymarket Trader
nxdfhwr
0x186593e87d207d8d6d45259c919522521d908f1b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $144.87
- Realized PnL
- $2.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $144.87
- Potential payout
- $151.7
- Potential profit
- $6.83
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.43
- Potential profit
- $151.43
- User PnL
- -$116.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Lions position
Spread: Lions (-6.5)
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Under position
Wild vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.01
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.83
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.56
No position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.12
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.26
No position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
US military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?No 97.9% 109.44 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 96.5% 107.14 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No 99.9% 103.39 shares
- Maduro out in 2025?No 99.3% 103.28 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 89% 116.6 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 96.1% 44.48 shares
- Spread: West Ham (-0.5)West Ham 37% 1,516.62 shares
- Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?No 99.3% 12.08 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes 98.2% 31.2 shares
- Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?Yes 99.5% 42.64 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?No 97.7% 42.43 shares
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?Yes 93.6% 41.45 shares