Polymarket Trader

020112

0x187fbd3114592d6a5420c937ca14e9cf64f55fee

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.74K
Realized PnL: -$175.95
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $750.52
Potential payout: $6.53K
Potential profit: $5.78K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$207.82

Yes position

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

Ends Aug 15, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $5.64K
Potential profit: $3.53K
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $86.27

Yes position

US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $252.58
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $1.77K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $53.16

Yes position

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $548.36
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $996.32
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$7.72

Yes position

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $448.49
Potential payout: $985.7
Potential profit: $537.21
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $28.63

No position

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 92.3%
Current value: $364.67
Potential payout: $395.09
Potential profit: $30.42
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $39.47

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $74.11
Potential payout: $380.04
Potential profit: $305.93
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $21.59

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $67.91
Potential payout: $288.97
Potential profit: $221.06
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $17.73

No position

Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $118.64
Potential payout: $120.75
Potential profit: $2.11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.46

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $103.63

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$72.37

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$109.67

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$259

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

Yes 36% 1,041.49 shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?

Yes 11% 878.12 shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?

Yes 9% 255.48 shares
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?

Yes 42.6% 985.7 shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

Yes 35.7% 513.64 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Yes 14% 357.14 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Yes 11% 22.9 shares
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?

No 82.7% 241.84 shares
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?

Yes 15.1% 170.36 shares
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?

Yes 11% 5 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Yes 17.4% 288.97 shares
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?

No 77.9% 41.37 shares