Polymarket Trader

yu74

0x1880835efd74c1f531857cebd86799971dfa8f94

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.21
Realized PnL: $4.32
Win rate: 81.8%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.64
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.64

Pistons position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.89
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $0.9
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $1.45
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Mavericks position

Jazz vs. Mavericks

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Hawks

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will the Florida Panthers be Eastern Conference champions?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 47% 10.64 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 68% 1.47 shares
Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Pistons 53% 1.89 shares
Celtics vs. Hawks

Celtics 60% 1.67 shares
Jazz vs. Mavericks

Mavericks 60% 1.67 shares
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 69% 1.45 shares
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Yes 85% 1.72 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?

No 75% 1.33 shares
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Yes 58% 1.72 shares
US recession in 2025?

No 92% 1.63 shares
Will the Florida Panthers be Eastern Conference champions?

Yes 69% 1.45 shares
US recession in 2025?

No 61% 1.64 shares