stirully

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $74.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $69.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $69.9
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$6.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $69.93
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$6.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $69.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $69.9
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$6.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $35.7
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $34.3
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $29.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $64.84
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $22.42
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $42.58
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $16.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $54.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $54.92
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $54.95
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $54.92
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $54.81
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$4.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $49.78
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.23
User PnL: $45.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $2.97
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.03
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 91.8%
Current value: $43.91
Potential payout: $47.86
Potential profit: $3.95
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C or below on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $44.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $44.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C or higher on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $44.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $44.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $44.93
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $44.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on April 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $178.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 3?