No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $107.01
- Potential payout
- $200.02
- Potential profit
- $93.01
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$33
Polymarket Trader
geloer
0x18ba4525c2324b0fa724f5a8ed6cb71038e4b501
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $107.01
- Realized PnL
- $18.51
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.24
- Potential profit
- $25.24
- User PnL
- -$24.99
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.24
- Potential profit
- $25.24
- User PnL
- -$24.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.27
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Down position
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 59% 20 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes 41% 54 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 60% 102 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes 64% 5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes 65% 5 shares
- Will Canada finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes 27% 88 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 67% 37.63 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 67% 60 shares
- Will Canada finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes 20.5% 32 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 64% 200 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 77.2% 84 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 16% 335 shares