Polymarket Trader

AxiaSystem

0x18cda925145a03cd1650ad1036f6b152ece1d8d2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.24K
Realized PnL: $3.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $3.44K
Potential payout: $3.61K
Potential profit: $162.24
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $18.03

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $2.97K
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $197.88
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $4.72

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $2.05K
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $40.76
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $45.96

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.3%
Current value: $388.36
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 4.30x
User PnL: -$123.93

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $1K
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $600
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$120

No position

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $1.46K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $40.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $33

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $203.89
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$68.17

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $40.07
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $10.75

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $999.85
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $104.96
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $90.75

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $93.41
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $5.5

No position

Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $885
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $115
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $805
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $195
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $25

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $758.19
Potential payout: $762.38
Potential profit: $4.19
User PnL: $60.18

No position

Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $580.8
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $19.2
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $22.8

No position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 62.6%
Current value: $313
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $187
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$112

Yes position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $361.59
Potential payout: $485.36
Potential profit: $123.77
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $19.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $30.56
Potential payout: $30.7
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $0.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442.37

No position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $439.5

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.96

No position

Weed rescheduled in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.89

No position

Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.56

No position

Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.66

Yes position

Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.79

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.74

Yes position

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.33

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.5

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.82

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.57

Yes position

Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.8

No position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

No position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Up 81.4% 137.87 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Up 99% 151 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Up 99% 151 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.7% 704.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Down 72.6% 154.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Down 47.2% 197 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Down 82.2% 136.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Up 95% 158 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Down 99% 151 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Down 99% 151 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Down 79.4% 141.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Up 99% 151 shares