Polymarket Trader

wizardsmagic

0x18de697a860f8a92b4b4a320bf3354b1e2f11f14

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.94
Realized PnL: $1.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.19K
Potential profit: $4.19K
User PnL: -$9.29

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.37K
Potential profit: $3.37K
User PnL: -$5.82

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.28K
Potential profit: $3.28K
User PnL: -$5.48

Yes position

Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Jatiya Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $4.45
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.96K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5.85

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.77K
Potential profit: $2.77K
User PnL: -$70.56

Yes position

Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $2.66K
Potential profit: $2.66K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.47

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
User PnL: -$14.4

Yes position

Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $2.11K
User PnL: -$2.11

Yes position

Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$2.08

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the April decision?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.81K
User PnL: -$3.77

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$5.41

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.74K
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$2.97

Yes position

Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.32K
User PnL: -$5.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $195.87

No position

Will Claude 5 be released on February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.64

No position

Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.81

Yes position

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: $159.88

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $129.01

No position

Will "Bridgerton: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.44

Yes position

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $90.41

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80

No position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.91

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $63.52

Yes position

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 12 be between 80 and 85?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C or below on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.12

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.48

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.5

No position

U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.16

Yes position

Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.91

Yes position

Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $21.56

Yes position

Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $21.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.03

No position

Another crypto hack over $100m by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Switzerland to score first vs. Canada?

Yes 51% 20 shares
Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 0.5

Over 69% 30 shares
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Brazil 50% 20 shares
Exact Score: Panama 2 - 1 Croatia?

Yes 4% 200 shares
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 15% 40 shares
Exact Score: Panama 1 - 0 Croatia?

Yes 6.8% 100 shares
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 11% 50 shares
Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 1 Algeria?

Yes 8.6% 35 shares
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 43% 14 shares
Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 1 Algeria?

Yes 1.7% 100 shares
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 35% 36 shares
Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 1 Algeria?

Yes 1% 100 shares