Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $51.37
- Potential payout
- $68.04
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $7.16
Polymarket Trader
0x18E8AE9B377Fe62a5d564C4e6f99EaDCFC60fc2d-1771420747276
0x18e8ae9b377fe62a5d564c4e6f99eadcfc60fc2d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $128.37
- Realized PnL
- $326.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $25.2
- Potential payout
- $43.12
- Potential profit
- $17.92
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$9.8
No position
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $25.61
- Potential payout
- $38.81
- Potential profit
- $13.19
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $26.19
- Potential payout
- $28.01
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.5
- Potential profit
- $14.5
- User PnL
- -$3.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.07
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.69
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.85
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
Yes position
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.61
Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.35
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.55
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.69
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.53
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.77
No position
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.61
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.21
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.96
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $9.52
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
No position
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
Yes position
Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 53% 19.26 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 92% 10.88 shares
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No 67% 38.81 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No 99.4% 26.59 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No 97.4% 26.59 shares
- Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No 94.3% 27.59 shares
- Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No 94.2% 27.59 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 90% 38.89 shares
- Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?No 81% 20.99 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83.2% 8.41 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 87.7% 22.81 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No 92% 47.99 shares