No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $4.45
- Potential payout
- $6.6
- Potential profit
- $2.14
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Polymarket Trader
20mfarvaxhs1
0x18f69ffc266b332747ac1884ce8d2487f770e980
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $86.69
- Realized PnL
- $93.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $6.46
- Potential payout
- $6.56
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $5.44
- Potential payout
- $6.51
- Potential profit
- $1.07
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $3.78
- Potential payout
- $6.45
- Potential profit
- $2.68
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $4.72
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $1.53
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $6.15
- Potential profit
- $5.21
- Multiplier
- 6.54x
- User PnL
- -$3.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.4%
- Current value
- $4.46
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $5.66
- Potential payout
- $5.69
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $5.52
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $5.44
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $5.31
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 39°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $5.12
- Potential payout
- $5.18
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $3.73
- Potential payout
- $4.85
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.08
- Potential payout
- $4.56
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $3.63
- Potential payout
- $4.3
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $1.64
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $2.82
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2.66
- Potential payout
- $2.67
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $2.07
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $2.06
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 92°F or higher on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 29?No 96.5% 2.07 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?No 64.1% 3.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?No 66.1% 3.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 29?No 84% 2.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 28?No 76% 1.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 29?No 81% 2.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 29?No 87% 1.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on June 29?No 96% 2.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 28?No 97% 2.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 28?No 77% 2.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 28?No 77% 2.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 29?No 91% 2.2 shares