Polymarket Trader

chingata

0x18fe74ef57a180af17d5ab86120fc2921b2f32fb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.34K
Realized PnL: -$780.74
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $387.06
Potential payout: $389.2
Potential profit: $2.14
User PnL: $14.94

No position

Will Pakistan recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $349.62
Potential payout: $350.5
Potential profit: $0.88
User PnL: $13.39

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 84.8%
Current value: $189.2
Potential payout: $223.25
Potential profit: $34.05
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$25.98

No position

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $197.01
Potential payout: $198
Potential profit: $0.99
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $104.95
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $5.2

No position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $104.83
Potential payout: $104.99
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $5.41

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59
Potential profit: $59
User PnL: -$48.38

No position

Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $10.49
Potential payout: $10.51
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.97

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.06

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.79

Yes position

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.31

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.13

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$175.84

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$654.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?

No 99% 198 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 82% 59 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 96.4% 51 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 96.4% 166 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

No 94% 48 shares
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?

No 95.6% 133 shares
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?

No 95.4% 71.2 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 96% 6.25 shares
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30?

No 95.2% 10.51 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 77% 12 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 77% 20 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 85% 10 shares